An investigation into the effects of seigniorage in financing public projects in Kenya
Abstract
The development of public projects in Kenya is one of the flagship areas for the country
to advance into a developing economy. This has been entrenched by the country in its
latest development master plan, well referred to as Kenya, Vision 2030. This strategy
paper has earmarked a growth rate of 10% in a number of years for key sectors such as
tourism, agriculture, trade and manufacturing. However, achievement of such grand plans
becomes impeded if there are not enough funds to spur this developmental growth. This
study therefore has taken a look at Seigniorage and investigated its effects in financing
government projects. The objectives of the study was to determine the cost of issuing
banknotes and coins, to determine the income derived from the issue of banknotes and
coins and to evaluate the extent that income derived from the issue of banknotes and coins
can have an effect in financing public projects in Kenya. The study adopted the
descriptive design method and a questionnaire administered to 14 respondents on a census
basis. The study was also longitudinal and therefore it ana lysed data from the financial
statements of the Central Bank of Kenya over a five year period so as to determine the
currency in circulation growth and eventually derive the Seigniorage income that could
result from this issue. The study was conducted in Nairobi, Kenya primarily at the Central
Bank of Kenya. The study was facilitated by use of both primary and secondary data
which were collected, collated and ana lysed statistically using mean, mode and range.
The dependent variable for this study was financing of public projects and the
independent variables were costs of issuing currency, derived income from issue of
currency and the recognition of this income. The intervening variables were state of the
economy, political stability and adopted accounting policies. The research revealed that
currency in circulation has been on an upward trend and the total costs associated to these
currencies much lower than the face values ascribed. With the positive trajectory in
circulation growth and the much lower investment costs for getting these products to
circulation, the uptake of another revenue source seems to be in the offing. Whereas
incorporation of Seigniorage revenue as an important revenue stream could be considered
for the Central Bank of Kenya, primary adoption should not be the focus as it may deter
focus to revenue generation and not price stability. With the right focus, the possibility
that Seigniorage income will more often than not be positive and in the billions annually,
the overall effect to development of infrastructure in Kenya will be phenomenal.
Financing of public projects in Kenya can be dependent on revenues from Seigniorage
adoption and implementation.