Browsing by Author "Muthoga, Samuel"

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    Effects of Selected Macroeconomic Variables on Market Capitalization of Nairobi, Kenya
    (The International Journal of Humanities & Social Studies, 2024) Anne, Avonde; Muthoga, Samuel
    This study examined the effects of selected macroeconomic variables on the market capitalization of the Nairobi Securities Exchange in Kenya during the period 2010- 2022, based on the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) using quarterly data. The autoregressive distributed lag model technique was applied to test how market capitalization was affected by the macroeconomic variables. Gross domestic product, money supply, and inflation were stationary at the level while interest rate, market capitalization, and exchange rate became stationary at first difference. From the empirical results, no co-integration between market capitalization and exchange rate, money supply, interest rates, Gross domestic product, and inflation was found by use of bounds test. Money supply and inflation had a weak influence on market capitalization; interest rate, Gross Domestic Product, and first lag of the exchange rate were positive and affected market capitalization, while the exchange rate at the current level affected market capitalization negatively. It was concluded that macroeconomic variables affect market capitalization. The study recommends that the government need to put up relevant policies that increase gross domestic product. Policymakers need to consider macroeconomic variables during policy formulation on market capitalization.
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    The Nexus between the changes in Oil output in the United Arab Emirates and the Volatility of Petrol Prices in Kenya
    (ATCR Publishing, 2023-11) Rotich, Samson Kiptoo; Muthoga, Samuel
    The volatility of petroleum prices in Kenya compels an analysis into the fundamental causes of the recurrent fluctuations. Movements in oil production from important importing sources play a role in determining petroleum prices in importing countries. However, no clear model exists that explains how these changes in oil output affect the price of gasoline in Kenya. Additionally, there is no framework that explains how long these shocks last in the Kenyan market. The present situation has opened the door for a research project designed to comprehend the effects of changes in oil output from the United Arab Emirates on gasoline costs in Kenya. The two main goals of the study are to first determine how monthly oil output changes in the UAE affect Kenyan gasoline prices between 2017 and 2020, and then to determine how long the effects of oil production shocks from the UAE last in the Kenyan gasoline market. In order to determine whether monthly variations in oil output from the United Arab Emirates have an impact on Kenya's gasoline prices and whether oil production shocks from the United Arab Emirates have lasting effects on the Kenyan gasoline market, the research is set up as a hypothesis-driven investigation. The study made use of concepts from the Real Business Cycle theory and the conventional notion of market self-adjustments. The analysis relied on secondary data which were collected from various sources including OPEC, EIA, Central Bank of Kenya and World Bank’s websites. The data were processed using the R programming language. After analysis, a model was constructed, enabling the derivation of conclusions and subsequent recommendations.