Achieving 100 percent enrollment ration in secondary education in Kenya; a projection

Abstract

Equaling educational opportunity has become a primary stated goal for most developing countries. To most African countries, Kenya being an example, satisfaction of 'Social Demand ' for education is of primary importance. Efforts are being made by these countries to expand access to education to bring about equalization in the participation rates of different social strata.

The broad aim of this study is to analyze by projecting the time (in years) that various provinces in Kenya will have to take in order to enroll the relevant secondary school population in the school system.

The major statistical tool used for time projection as per this study. Also used in this study was the method of Sprague multipliers for the interpolation of population data in order to estimate the relevant secondary school age population (13-16 years). This is a method designed by United Nations Statisticians after a careful study of population trends in various countries.

The major findings show that the achievement of 100 percent enrolment into secondary schools vary considerably among the provinces. Some of the provinces like Central, Eastern and Western will achieve this at a faster pace as compared to provinces like Nairobi and Coast Provinces which will achieve this goal at a slower pace.

The existing differences are largely as a result of the extent of educational developments in these provinces caused by partly historical, partly economic and political features among the various provinces of Kenya