ASSESMENT OF CARBON SEQUESTRATION AND BIOMASS ACCUMULATION OF MANAGED AND NATURAL MANGROVE PLANTATIONS OF MIDA CREEK, KILIFI COUNTY KENYA KEVIN OGOLLA OMOLLO I56/37485/2017 A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the award of the degree of masters of sciences (Plant Ecology) in the school of pure and applied sciences of Kenyatta University October 2021 DECLARATION This thesis is my original work and has not been presented for a degree in any other university or any other award Kevin Ogolla Omollo Reg. No. I56/37485/2017 Signature ............................. Date: .................................... SUPPERVISORS We confirm that the work reported in this thesis was carried out by the candidate under our supervision Dr. Najma Dharani Department of Plant Sciences, Kenyatta University Signature........................... .............................................................Date: ........................... Dr. Benards Okeyo Department of Environmental Sciences, Pwani University Signature...................................................................................Date................................... DEDICATION This research thesis is dedicated to my dear parents; Mr. Noah Omollo Osuda, Mrs. Pamela Akinyi and my wife Belinda Adhiambo, who are my motivators and inspirers. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I give my sincere gratitude to God the Father who has made my visions to be a reality by helping me to locate my destiny helpers throughout the study time. I also give my heart-felt gratitude to my supervisors; Dr Najma Dharani and Dr Benards Okeyo for their valuable guidance, encouragement during fieldwork and critical review starting from proposal development to the completion of this research work. I sincerely give thanks to my supervisor Dr Najma Dharani by giving me financial support for the success of my fieldwork. I also thank the chairperson of the mangrove reserve area at Mida Creek; Alex Toya Saidi for allowing me to conduct the research in the mangrove field peacefully and without demanding any pay or compensation. My gratitude also goes to my field assistant; Mr. Mohammed Ali who was always willing and ready to go with me to the muddy mangrove forests to collect samples. I give special thanks to my fellow student Mr. David Amakanga whom we were with in the field helping one another in developing ideas to deal with difficult matters that arose in the field. Special thanks to my father and mother for their support in form of finance, prayer, affection, and encouragement in all stages of my life. Thanks to my wife Mrs. Omollo Belinda for understanding me during my commitments and for standing with me in prayer. I give thanks to my friends Cecilia, Valentine, Beatrice, Okanda, Mugo, Peter, Onyancha and Dalmas whose love and encouragement in prayer and hard work has made me to continue being strong regardless of difficult situations here and there. Finally, am forever grateful to Kenyatta University for awarding me a scholarship to pay my full school fees for the two academic years to complete my study TABLE OF CONTENTS DECLARATION ............................................................................................................................. ii DEDICATION ............................................................................................................................... iii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ........................................................................................................... iv TABLE OF CONTENTS ................................................................................................................ v LIST OF TABLES ....................................................................................................................... viii LIST OF FIGURES ........................................................................................................................ ix LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS ........................................................................................................ xi DEFINITION OF TERMS ........................................................................................................... xiii ABSTRACT ................................................................................................................................ xiv CHAPTER ONE .............................................................................................................................. 1 1 INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................................................... 1 1.1 Background of the study ............................................................................................................ 1 1.2 Statement of the problem ........................................................................................................... 3 1.3 Justification of the study ............................................................................................................ 4 1.4 Hypotheses ............................................................................................................................... 5 1.5 Objectives ................................................................................................................................. 5 1.5.1 General objectives ............................................................................................................... 5 1.5.2 Specific objectives ........................................................................................................ 6 1.6 Significance of the study ........................................................................................................... 6 CHAPTER TWO ............................................................................................................................. 8 2 LITERATURE REVIEW ............................................................................................................ 8 2.1 Mangrove environment and dynamics ................................................................................... 8 2.2 Importance of mangroves ...................................................................................................... 8 2.3 Mangrove structure ................................................................................................................ 9 2.4 Natural regeneration .............................................................................................................. 9 2.5 Biomass accumulation ......................................................................................................... 10 2.6 Threats to mangroves ........................................................................................................... 11 2.7 Mangrove management in Kenya ........................................................................................ 12 2.8 Mangroves in Kenya. ........................................................................................................... 13 2.9 Mangrove Restoration and conservation measures in Kenya. ............................................. 13 CHAPTER THREE ....................................................................................................................... 15 3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY ............................................................................................... 15 3.1 Study site ................................................................................................................................ 15 3.1.1 Managed mangrove forests of Mida Creek. ......................................................................... 16 3.2 Study design ............................................................................................................................ 17 3.3 Sampling procedures ............................................................................................................... 18 3.3.1 Forest structure sampling .................................................................................................. 18 3.3.2 Biomass and Carbon Stock accumulation estimates ......................................................... 19 3.3.2.1 Aboveground Carbon ................................................................................................. 19 3.3.2.2 Belowground biomass .................................................................................................... 19 3.4 Data analysis ............................................................................................................................ 20 3.4.1 Analysis of species structure and stand composition .................................................... 20 3.4.2 Analysis on estimation of biomass and carbon stock accumulation ............................. 21 3.4.3 Analysis for carbon sequestration for the managed mangroves .................................... 23 3.4.4 Soil analysis .................................................................................................................. 24 CHAPTER FOUR ......................................................................................................................... 28 4 RESULTS ............................................................................................................................... 28 4.1 Structural characteristics ...................................................................................................... 28 4.2.1 Aboveground biomass ................................................................................................. 35 4.2.2 Belowground biomass ................................................................................................... 39 4.2.3 Soil organic carbon (SOC) ............................................................................................ 40 4.2.4: Total carbon stocks ...................................................................................................... 42 4.3: Nutrients status ................................................................................................................... 42 4.3.1: Phosphates .................................................................................................................... 42 4.3.2: Ammonium .................................................................................................................. 44 4.3.3 Nitrates .......................................................................................................................... 45 4.3.4 Belowground biomass and Nutrient status .................................................................... 46 5 DISCUSSION CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS .......................................... 47 5.1 DISCUSSION ...................................................................................................................... 47 5.1.1 Forest structure ................................................................................................................. 47 5.1.2 Carbon pools ..................................................................................................................... 49 5.1.2.1 Aboveground biomass (AGB) carbon ........................................................................ 49 5.1.2.2 Belowground biomass ................................................................................................ 52 5.1.2.3 Soil organic carbon (SOC) ......................................................................................... 55 5.1.2.3 Total carbon stocks ........................................................................................................ 58 5.1.2.4 Nutrients ......................................................................................................................... 61 5.2 CONCLUSIONS ................................................................................................................. 63 5.3 RECOMENDATIONS ........................................................................................................ 64 APPENDICES ............................................................................................................................... 79 APPENDIX 1: Mangrove species in Kenya in their local names and uses. .............................. 79 APPENDIX 2: Photographs of mangroves encountered in the study site ................................. 80 LIST OF TABLES Table 3. 1: Specific densitiy for different mangrove species (Bosire et al., 2012) ....................... 23 Table 4. 1: Structural characteristics of mangroves species for the dry season ............................ 29 Table 4. 2: Structural characteristics of mangroves species for the wet season . .......................... 30 Table 4. 3: Aboveground biomass contributions by different species encountered. ..................... 36 Table 4. 4: Sequestration potential of different mangrove species encountered ........................... 38 Table 4. 5: Carbon stocks in Mg C ha-1 for various carbon pools of Mida Creek ........................ 42 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 3. 1: Map of Mida Creek Mangrove Reserve .................................................................... 16 Figure 4. 1: Changes in basal area for different mangrove species in Mida Creek. ...................... 31 Figure 4. 2: Size class distribution for tree species in Green Island Plantation. ........................... 32 Figure 4. 3: Size class distribution for tree species in 15 year-old Kibusa Plantation .................. 33 Figure 4. 4: Size class distribution for tree species in the Natural Stand. ..................................... 33 Figure 4. 5: Scatter plot for height against DBH for Kibusa Plantation. ....................................... 34 Figure 4. 6: Scatter plot for height against DBH for Green Island Plantation. ............................. 34 Figure 4. 7: Scatter plot for height against DBH for the Natural Stand. ....................................... 35 Figure 4. 8: Total root carbon among different depth profiles across study sites. ........................ 40 Figure 4. 9: Mean soil carbon stocks for the study sites in Mida Creek ....................................... 41 Figure 4. 10: Amount of phosphate in the sediment of plantations and natural stand .................. 43 Figure 4. 11: Amount of Ammonium in the sediment for the study sites ..................................... 45 Figure 4. 12: Amount of Nitrate in the sediment of Plantations and Natural Stands .................... 46 LIST OF PLATES Plate 1. 1: Photograph of Rhizophora mucronata ......................................................................... 80 Plate 1. 2: Ceriops tagal tree with stilt roots ................................................................................. 80 Plate 1. 3: Avicenia marina tree with aerial roots ......................................................................... 81 Plate 1. 4: Photograph of Xylocarpus granatum tree with Horizontal roots ................................. 81 Plate 1. 5: Photograph of Sonneratia alba ..................................................................................... 82 Plate 1. 6: Photograph of Bruguiera gymnorrhiza ........................................................................ 82 LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS AGB Above Ground Biomass ANOVA Analysis of Variance BGB Below Ground Biomass C Carbon CO2 Carbon dioxide Cr3+ Chromium ion DBH Diameter at Breast Height FAO Food Agricultural Organization FAO Food and Agricultural Organization GOK Government of Kenya GPS Global Positioning System Ho Null Hypothesis IVI Importance value index KFS Kenya Forest Service KMFRI Kenya Marine and Fisheries Research Institute KWS Kenya Wildlife Service Mg C ha-1 Milligrams Carbon per hectare. NaHCO3 Sodium Hydrogen Carbonate NaOH Sodium hydroxide. NH4+ Ammonium ion NO3- Nitrate ion PO43- Phosphate ion REDD+ Reduced emissions from avoided deforestation and forest degradation SOC Soil Organic Carbon SPSS Statistical Packages of Social Sciences T C yr-1 Tone Carbon per year t C/ha Tones Carbon per hectare. USD United State Dollar UV Ultra Violet light UV/VS Visible Ultra Violet Spectrometer DEFINITION OF TERMS Biomass: Total mass of a living thing or part of a living thing. Carbon Sequestration: To incorporate or convert carbon (IV) oxide from the atmosphere into the tree biomass Colorimeter: An instrument designed to determine the color of something by comparison with standard colors Cuvette: A small vessel with at least two flat and transparent sides, used to hold a liquid sample to be analyzed in the light path of a spectrometer. Hypothetical: A state of being theoretical Inundation: Refers to flooding of an area. Neap tide: A tide in which the difference between high and low tide is the least. Sea ward position: Refers to =towards the sea‘ Silviculture: An agricultural practice that involves care and development of forests in order to obtain a product or provide a benefit. Spectrophotometer: An instrument used to measure the intensity of electromagnetic radiation at different wavelengths. Spring tide: A tide in which the difference between high and low tide is the greatest. Stand: A homogenous plant community with distinctive plant association that may be recognized elsewhere. Supernatant: A situation where a less dense liquid floats on the surface of another more-dense liquid. Tidal limits: The furthest point the water level reaches at a given tide. Tide: The periodic rise and fall of the waters in the ocean produced by the attraction of the moon and sun. Turbid: Water mass which has sediment; that which is not clear. Viviparous: A mode of reproduction where an embryo arises and develops from the outset. ABSTRACT Mangrove forests play a significant role along the coastal environment throughout the tropical coast. They provide ecosystem services that are able to sustain both flora and faunal organisms found in such ecosystems. They are stores of large quantities of carbon in their biomass hence referred to as carbon sinks. This carbon can be emitted into the atmosphere when mangrove forests are degraded through unsustainable utilization. With accurate quantification of carbon stocks in these forests, it will be easy to define their potential role in global climate regulation through their carbon sequestration ability. Since the sequestration potential of the replanted managed mangrove species of Mida Creek is unknown, this indicates an information gap which calls for bridging to help develop a baseline inventory data for effective forest conservation and management. The main objective of this study is to quantify the amount of carbon sequestered by the managed mangrove forest of the Mida Creek, Kenya. Three sites were selected for this study; 15 year-old Kibusa Plantation, 20 year- old Green Island Plantation, and a Natural Stand. Fifty Plots in the plantations and sixty plots in the natural stand of (10 x10) m2 were selected in each study site. Three carbon pools were investigated; aboveground carbon, belowground carbon, and soil organic carbon. Biomass for carbon determination in Kibusa and Natural Stands was estimated using a general allometric equation. Aboveground carbon was determined by measuring the diameter at breast height using a DBH meter. Belowground biomass and soil organic carbon was determined through root coring method using a soil corer at different depth profiles. Mean total carbon stocks in Kibusa and Green Island Plantations was 424.52±11.68 Mg C/ha and 958.57±50.01 Mg C/ha while the natural stand contained significantly higher total Carbon stocks of 2159.77±31.09Mg C/ha. There was no significant difference in the amount of soil organic carbon among the three different sites (F0.05(1)2,15=0.35, p>0.05). This study indicates that reforestation enhances structural development of replanted mangroves and that replanted mangroves are significant carbon stores. Rhizophora mucronata species was found to be the most abundant species compared to all the other species in all the three study sites, with an Importance Value Index of 117.1. In addition, Ammonium, Phosphates and Nitrates from the soil were also determined. Ammonium was the most abundant nutrient in all the three study sites. High Ammonium concentration in the mangrove sediment led to high amount of carbon sequestered in the root biomass. Therefore high ammonium concentration in the soil leads to increase in amount of carbon sequestered in the root biomass. From these results, we can deduce that awareness should be raised among the community members on the need for conservation and reforestation that will increase the amount of carbon sequestered since more mangroves increase the amount of carbon (IV) oxide capture. This will help in mitigating the issue of global warming at local levels. CHAPTER ONE 1 INTRODUCTION 1.1 Background of the study Mangrove ecosystem is a wetland found along the coastal regions of both tropical and subtropical areas worldwide (Ellison et al., 2015). Globally, mangrove coastal forest cover approximately 137,760 km2-152,360 km2 of the world‘s surface (Kainuma et al., 2013) with 50-75 species in 20-26 genera found in about 16-20 families (Hamilton and Friess, 2018). A total of 73 mangrove species and hybrids are dispersed across 123 countries and territories around the globe (Giri et al., 2011). Global estimation of mangrove forest cover shows that mangroves have declined to a range not less than 50% of the original total cover (Hamilton et al., 2016). This has consequently led to a loss of the services provided by the mangroves due to biomass losses hence high accumulation of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere leading to global warming (Abino et al., 2014). Clearance of mangrove forests leads to permanent loss of sequestration ability hence making future mitigation targets difficult to achieve (Lagomasino et al., 2019). The need to reduce the continuous climate change trends has been of great interest to many scientific researchers. Most studies have therefore been done to better understand the functions of the mangrove ecosystem in carbon sequestration potential worldwide (zhang et al., 2018). Since mangrove trees are very dynamic (Donnelly et al., 2017), they are susceptible to changes in structure and composition hence may result in alteration of the ecosystem function and structure of the mangroves. Such changes may be as a result of response to direct human effect like over harvesting and over-exploitation due to illegal and poorly managed logging activities and settlement (Hayashi et al., 2019). Another threat that has been linked to changes in the structure of mangrove is climate change (Gilman et al., 2016). According to Ellison (2015), climate change is likely to have a tremendous effect on the mangrove ecosystems since it results in changes in ocean currents, frequent storms, elevated temperatures, changes in the patterns of precipitation, sea level rise, and increased levels of carbon dioxide (Srivastava et al., 2015). This may lead to a shift in species composition and distribution (Srivastava et al., 2015). Since Mangrove, plantations are normally carbon sinks, their degradation leads to emission of the stored carbon into the atmosphere. The program by the United Nations that was aimed at Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation (REDD+) states that it will be .practically impossible. to achieve an atmosphere with stable global temperatures without reducing emissions from the forests and other mitigation actions (Chen et al., 2017). The decline of mangroves in Mida Creek and in Kenya at large accounts for an overall loss of 18% carbon as from 1985 and 2000 (Kirui et al., 2013). This therefore calls for understanding of the mangrove vegetation structure so as to predict future changes to aid in forest management through provision of site-specific quantitative vegetation data (Otero et al., 2018). The plan of mangrove restoration in Kenya began in 1918 when Smith and McKenzie Company did mangrove planting at Mobore in Lamu, following the forest clearance in the first world war (Kairo et al., 2001). Most recently, efforts on mangrove restoration has been done in Gazi bay, Mombasa estuary, Rasimi estuary and Mida Creek in activities coordinated by the Kenya Marine Forest Research Institute (KMFRI) and other organizations (Bosire et al., 2008; Kairo et al., 2008). In East Africa, there are few studies that have been conducted on carbon storage in the mangrove ecosystems. However, studies on mangrove carbon stocks are still limited in Kenya and are mostly focused on natural mangroves with few studies on managed mangroves. This study therefore seeks to establish the sequestration potential of the re- planted mangrove forest in order to come up with appropriate management strategies that will ensure effective global warming mitigation process locally. 1.2 Statement of the problem Carbon quantities stored in both above and below ground components of the mangrove trees are very high (Njana et al., 2016). For example, a study conducted by Kridiborworn et al. (2012) in Thailand indicated that mangrove stores a carbon stock of 1400.9 Mg C ha-1. Degradation of mangroves may lead to emission of this carbon into the atmosphere; thereby accelerating the global warming. The rate of decline of mangroves in Mida Creek and in Kenya at large accounts for an overall loss of 18 % carbon as per 1985 and 2000 (Kirui et al., 2013). This has been brought about by the unsustainable utilization, coupled with human population increase that exerts pressure on the mangrove as the demand for the forest products increase. Mangrove management plan focuses on restoration of degraded mangroves forests through reforestation. Restored mangroves have high ability to sequester carbon into their biomass due to their high turnover ratio. However, their ability to play a role in climate regulation is compromised due to unsustainable use (Taillardat et al., 2018). Soil nutrient status also affects the accumulation of carbon stored in the root biomass. For instance, a study by Wang et al., (2016) indicated that soil organic carbon, total nitrogen and total phosphorus were the main factors that influenced belowground biomass. In order to understand the role of mangroves in climate change regulation, it is prudent to understand their carbon sequestration rates in different mangrove ecosystems (Kauffman et al., 2011). A few studies have been done on the true status of the restored mangroves and their carbon sequestration rates in Kenya. For instance, a study by Kairo et al. (2004) and Richard et al., (2014) on carbon stocks of mangroves majorly focused on carbon stocks of the natural and degraded mangrove forest stands (Sharma et al., 2020). However, the sequestration potential of the replanted species remains unknown in the Mida Creek. This indicates an information gap which calls for bridging to help develop a baseline inventory data for effective forest conservation and management and to define the potential roles of the mangroves in regulation of climate. The present study has examined sequestration potential and carbon stocks of mangrove plantations in Mida Creek, Kenya. 1.3 Justification of the study Carbon quantities stored in both above and below ground components of the mangrove trees are very high (Njana et al., 2016). For example, a study conducted by Kridiborworn et al. (2012) in Thailand indicated that mangrove stores a carbon stock of 1400.9 Mg C ha-1. Kenyan mangroves are classified as threatened by both anthropogenic activities and climate change events (Kabede et al.,2012). Some of the anthropogenic activities that have led to degradation of the mangrove species include illegal lodging for timber, fuel wood and for medicinal use (Rasquinha, and Mishra, 2020). Due to lack of data on sequestration rates of managed mangroves in Mida Creek, this study focuses on determination of carbon sequestration rate and biomass accumulation of the managed mangrove plantations of Mida Creek. This will help in coming up with management policies that will ensure effective global warming mitigation locally. In addition, the sequestered carbon can be traded on in the carbon market hence supporting sustainable harvesting and conservation, which can improve the community livelihood (Sapkota and White, 2020). With accurate quantification of carbon stocks in these forests, it will be easy to define their potential role in global climate regulation through their carbon sequestration ability. 1.4 Hypotheses i. The forest structure and composition of managed mangroves in Mida Creek does not differ significantly from that of the natural stand. ii. The quantity of carbon stock in the managed Rhizophora mucronata does not significantly differ from that of Avicenia marina. iii. The sequestration potential of managed mangrove trees does not significantly differ from the mangrove species in the natural stand. iv. Sediment nutrient status does not significantly affect belowground biomass distribution. 1.5 Objectives 1.5.1 General objectives To assess the sequestration potential and the biomass accumulation of the managed mangrove forest of the Mida Creek, Kilifi County, Kenya. 1.5.2 Specific objectives (i) Assess forest structure and composition of managed mangroves in Mida Creek. (ii) Determine total biomass accumulation of managed mangroves, Rhizophora mucronata and Avicenia marina species in the Mida Creek (iii) Determine the carbon sequestration potential of managed mangroves in the Mida Creek. (iv) Determine the effect of nutrient status on belowground biomass accumulation on mangrove sediment. 1.6 Significance of the study Mangroves are the main carbon sinks in the intertidal zone but are threatened by degradation (Taillardat et al., 2018). This has led to release of the stored carbon in their biomass in form of carbon (IV) oxide, thereby leading to heightened threat of global warming. Conservation of the mangroves will maximize on their ability to sequester carbon since this will minimize emission of large quantities of carbon through degradation (Kelleway et al., 2017). Reforestation, as a mitigation measure to the effect of mangrove degradation has led to increased population of the mangrove tree species (Basyuni et al., 2018). The higher the number of the tree species the higher the efficiency of carbon sequestered, thereby offsetting global warming effects. The study on the assessment of sequestration potential of managed mangrove plantations is therefore important since this will help to quantify their ability to mitigate global warming at local level. Again, the management of the mangrove trees will ensure sustainable use of the mangrove products for both current and future generation. The accumulated carbon by the mangroves also benefits the local individuals through provision of fuel wood, timber, and herbal medicines (Huxham et al., 2017). CHAPTER TWO 2 LITERATURE REVIEW 2.1 Mangrove environment and dynamics Mangroves are vegetation types found in the transitional zone between sea and land along the coastal regions (Nopiana et al., 2020). They occur in various habitat settings including river dominated, draw downed areas, deltas, creeks, bays, islands and estuaries (Winata et al., 2017). The mangroves found along the river deltas are very much productive because of the high input of alluvial soils along the riverbanks (Truong, and Do, 2018). They possess certain unique features that enable them to adapt in such harsh environmental conditions along the coast such as soft substrate, high levels of salinity, submergence under turbid conditions, growing under alterations of inundation conditions (Boateng, 2018). Some of these adaptive mechanisms include viviparous embryos, reliance on wave motion and tides as means of seed dispersal, possession of aerial roots for respiration, knee roots for support, buttress roots for support and ability to tolerate high salt levels in their tissues and active secretion of excess salt from the plant body (Xu et al., 2017). 2.2 Importance of mangroves Mangroves provide diverse ecosystem goods and services for the betterment of both fauna and flora. For instance, mangrove trees have been harvested by the local people and used as sources of fuel wood through charcoal burning as well as firewood (Himes- Cornell et al., 2018). They are also good sources of durable timber since their wood is made up of hard tannins (Rog et al., 2017). They also inhabit a variety of faunal organisms such as fish, shrimp and crabs and so they provide a good avenue for aquaculture and shrimp farming (Owuor et al., 2019; Seary et al., 2020). Xylocarpus granatum mangrove species produce extracts that is used as drugs for treating human, animal and plant pathogens. Other extracts is also used for the management of incurable diseases like HIV/AIDS (Abdel-Aziz et al., 2016). Mangrove forests also act as spawning grounds for fish and feeding places for most birds migrating from place to place (Ram et al., 2020). Mangrove trees are also buffer zones against natural calamities such as cyclones, storms and tsunami (Oyana et al., 2009). 2.3 Mangrove structure Environmental changes such as altered tide levels, nutrient levels, drought, and salt accumulation, hydro-period, and rainfall amounts may contribute to influence mangrove community structure (Sippo et al., 2018). Due to dynamic nature of mangroves, it is necessary to do an assessment on the mangrove structure with the aim of predicting changes in the future for effective forest management and planning to ensure that the mangrove ability to sequester carbon is not compromised (Kamruzzaman et al., 2018). According to Kairo et al. (2020), the parameters estimated in the study of the mangrove structure include tree height, stem diameter, basal area, stand density, forest canopy, understory and diameter at breast height. These are then used to derive attributes like stand tables, distribution patterns, aboveground and complexity indices. 2.4 Natural regeneration Some of the adaptive mechanism possessed by the mangroves that makes them survive in the tidal flats is as a result of their regeneration potential (Sillanpää, et al., 2017). Linear regeneration sampling is a technique that describes the site regeneration potential in terms of distribution, size and seedling abundance (Otero et al., 2020). Seedlings that are above 40cm are classified as established regeneration class while those that are below 40cm are classified as potential regeneration class (Otero et al., 2020). The site conditions that may affect natural recruitment of the mangroves include levels of salinity, substrate nature, inundation, erosion due to sediment deposition and accretion (Das et al., 2019). Other factors that inhibit mangrove regeneration include propagule predation, persistent of the seed coat among the seed-bearing species, and scouring by driftwood ((Langston et al., 2017). Anthropogenic activities such as logging coupled with over-accumulation of debris from logging further threaten regeneration (Kodikara et al., 2017). The practices that have been put in place in order to enhance species diversity and for maintenance of forest integrity is silviculture (Jenke et al., 2020). This practice ensures that there is natural regeneration as well as increase in girth through pruning and thinning to create more openings for light penetration (Hassan et al., 2018). For a successful natural regeneration of mangroves, a minimum of 2500 seedlings ha-1as suggested by Alemayehu, (2017). A study conducted by Kirui et al. (2020) in Kenyan mangrove forests confirms these figures to be true for a successful natural regeneration. 2.5 Biomass accumulation The mean annual primary production of the mangrove forest is approximately 218 Tg C yr-1 hence are considered to be one of the most productive systems (Ribeiro et al., 2019). Their mean sequestration potential is about 20 billion t C and this value exceeds the amount of carbon sequestered in the tropical, temperate, and Taiga forests (Sanderman et al.,2018). The mangrove productivity is mainly dependent on the factors as latitude, climate, hydrodynamics, type of dominant species, and topography in relation to geomorphology (Komiyama et al., 2008). Most of the studies focusing on the carbon stocks of mangrove have mainly focused on the above ground biomass with some few studies on belowground biomass (Donato et al., 2011). According to Duke et al. 2013, a comparison done in the amount of above ground biomass for mangroves in tropical areas is higher than in temperate regions. According to global estimates, Japan is found to have AGB of 80.6 t ha-1 (Adame et al., 2017) while in Malaysia it is 116.8 ha-1 (Akhand et al., 2016). According to local estimates of carbon stocks of mangroves, Mida Creek is found to have total biomass of 296.14 t ha-1 (Kinyanjui et al., 2014) while mangroves of Mtwapa creek have carbon stocks of 245.54±20.95 Mg C ha-1. 2.6 Threats to mangroves The threats to the mangrove ecosystem are both natural and anthropogenic factors which alter forest structure and characteristics (Owuor et al., 2019). Natural threats to the mangrove ecosystem may originate from such calamities as cyclones, wind-storms, damage by frost, and floods (Alban et al., 2020). Sea level rise, ocean acidification, altered rainfall patterns, and increased temperatures are effects of climate change that pose challenges to the mangrove ecosystem (Owuor et al., 2019). On the other hand, the human induced threats include, mining operations, clearing, urban development, overharvesting and over-exploitation for timber, fish and crustaceans (Owuor et al., 2019). Despite all the threats faced by the mangroves, they have developed some of the adaptive mechanisms to survive in the harsh, muddy and soft substrate environment. Some of these adaptive features include; the Red mangroves have prop roots descending from the trunk and branches, providing a stable support system. Shallow wide spreading roots, surrounds the trunks of black mangroves, adding to the structural stability of the tree. While these roots come in many different shapes and sizes, they all perform an important function of structural support in the soft soils. The roots of some mangrove species (e.g. Bruguiera gymnorrhiza) form into "knees" that project above the mud surface to facilitate gaseous exchange. These complex root system found in mangroves also contributes to trapping of debris, which therefore leads to much carbon accumulation in the mangrove sediment. 2.7 Mangrove management in Kenya In Kenya, the following institutions are responsible for the development of legal framework for forest resources management; statement by the Forest act 2016. In 1932, the mangroves were originally gazette as forests. However, currently, the Forest Department is the one taking care of mangroves in Kenya (GOK, 2016). Other legislative bodies responsible for mangrove management include the Wildlife Conservation and Management Act of 2013. This institution provides for the sustainable harvest and management of wildlife and their habitats. In Marine Protected Areas such as the Watamu Marine national park and the Kiunga Marine National Reserve where mangroves occur, a legal jurisdiction has been bestowed purposely for conservation of mangroves (Kavoi et al., 2019). The Kenyan Constitution of 2010 also provides guiding tenets on the governance of the environment. In Article 60 (1) (e), a framework for sound conservation and protection of ecologically sensitive areas like the mangrove ecosystems has been established. 2.8 Mangroves in Kenya. Mangroves in Kenya cover approximately 45590 hectares (Kenduiywo, et al., 2020). In the coastal region, their distribution is widespread in areas like the creeks, bays, deltas and estuaries (Kairo et al., 2020). The greatest percentage cover of mangroves is mainly in the Tana River and Lamu, accounting for about 70% of the total mangrove area in Kenya (Kirui et al., 2012; Owuor et al., 2019). The total number of mangrove species found in Kenya is nine and these include; Rhizophora mucronata, Ceriops tagal, Sonneratia alba, Bruguiera gymnorrhiza, Avicenia marina, Lumnitzera racemose, Xylocarpus granatum, Xylocarpus moluccensis, and Heritiera littoralis (Kairo, 2020; Dharani, 2019). The most dominant species are the Rhizophora mucronata and Ceriops tagal that constitute 70% of the total mangrove formation along the Coast (Owuor et al., 2019). Plates 2.1- 2.5 below show the photographs of the various mangrove species in Kenya. 2.9 Mangrove Restoration and conservation measures in Kenya. The plan of mangrove restoration in Kenya began in 1918 when Smith and McKenzie Company did mangrove planting at Mobore in Lamu, following the forest clearance in the first world war (Kairo et al., 2001). Most recently, efforts on mangrove restoration has been done in Gazi bay, Mombasa estuary, Rasimi estuary and Mida Creek in activities coordinated by the Kemya Marine Forest Research Institute (KMFRI) and other organizations (Bosire et al., 2008; Kairo et al., 2008). Community based organizations in the Mida Creek are also actively involved in mangrove forest conservation and restoration. The community derive benefits from mangrove conservation through selective harvesting of timber, honey harvesting, protection against tides and sources of herbal medicines. Although a lot of studies in the naturally growing mangroves of Mida Creek, the carbon sequestration and biomass accumulation for the replanted mangroves remains unknown. Quantification of the ecosystems total carbon stocks in this study will enable the communities to understand the role of mangroves in local climate change mitigation. CHAPTER THREE 3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 3.1 Study site The study was conducted in Mida Creek located in Kilifi County (03o21‘S, 39o59‘E). Mida Creek is located 88km north of Mombasa and 25 km south of Malindi (Kairo et al.,, 2020). The Arabuko Sokoke Forest borders it, which is the largest indigenous forest relief in the East African Coast. Mida Creek is a tidal inlet that expands across an area of 32km2 (Cowburn et al., 2018) and it is bordered by several villages like Majaoni, Uyombo and Dabaso. The dominant tree species in the whole area include Rhizophora. mucronata, Avicenia marina, and Ceriops tagal (Kairo et al., 2020). The Creek consist of a channel whose length is 11km long that is narrower (width 500 m) at the mouth, while its depth becomes wider in the middle part (1500-2000 m). The depth varies between four and a maximum of seven meters (Kairo et al.,, 2020). The annual amount of rainfall is about 600-1000 mm (Owuor et al., 2019). The highest precipitation occurs in the month of May and the rainy season extends from May to September. The average temperatures between the months of July- October is about 24oC, which is the lowest temperature recorded throughout the year while the highest temperatures are recorded in the months of November- March whose average is 32oC (Boitt et al., 2019). This study was conducted within a period of 11 months, that is, data was collected in the month of January and towards the end of October 2019. Kibusa plantation Green Island Natura stand Sudi Island Malindi Mombasa Figure 3. 1: Map of Mida Creek Mangrove Reserve (adapted from Owuor et al., 2017) 3.1.1 Managed mangrove forests of Mida Creek. The mangrove forests of Mida Creek have been exploited for many years, especially for wood fuel and building poles (Kairo et al,. 2011; Owuor et al., 2017) which has left some areas along the coastline completely bare. Mangrove reforestation program to rehabilitate degraded mangrove areas and to transform disturbed forests into uniform stands of higher productivity was initiated at Mida Creek in 1991 (Kairo, 1995). In 1994, almost 70, 000 R. mucronata seedlings were replanted in 6.74 ha in the site located on the western side of the Creek, bordering Kinondo village. The sites, which were replanted, had been cleared early in the 1970s hence, did not show any element of natural regeneration for almost 27 years (Kairo, 1995). Subsequent development of the reforested areas has been monitored by comparing diameter and height increment of the replanted trees (Bosire et al., 2003; 2004) and by estimating aboveground tree biomass for mangrove plantations (Kairo, 2001). The plantation of Kibusa was mainly dominated by Rhizophora mucronata which was planted in 2004 while Green Island plantation which was also dominated by Rhizophora mucronata were planted in the year 2001 (Kairo, 2001). The mangroves in the 15 year-old Kibusa Plantation were younger than 20 year-old Green Island Plantation. The natural stand had increased spacing between trees with comparatively bigger stem diameters. The mangroves in the Natural forest had been exposed to disturbance such as logging for fuel wood and timber (Owuor et al., 2016). 3.2 Study design Systematic sampling design was used in the plantations while in the natural stands, stratified random sampling design was used to identify study sites and to classify corresponding zones that are representative of the area across the topographic gradient based on vegetation type and stand conditions (Lance and Hattori, 2016). Sampling design involved random selection of the vegetation types where samples were collected. In the plantations, where systematic sampling design was adopted, five (5) transects were laid perpendicularly to the shoreline across the study sites. A total of fifty (50) plots of 10m x 10m were marked along the transects. The distance from one transect to another was about 30m depending on vegetation structure and landscape. Sampling was done systematically from sea to land at interval of 10m based on the thickness of mangrove forest stand condition (Sayed and Ibrahim, 2018). In the natural stand, where stratified random sampling was done, ten line transects were laid across the selected forest fragments. This was followed by divisions of the transects into ten equal segments. Within the smaller subdivisions, sixty (10m x 10m) quadrats were placed at random, within which samples were collected. 3.3 Sampling procedures 3.3.1 Forest structure sampling Forest structure is the horizontal and vertical distribution of layers in a forest including the trees, shrubs, and ground cover. Structure looks at the proportion of small, medium, and large trees and is usually reported as trees per acre by diameter class. In the natural forest stand, ten line transects were laid perpendicularly to the shoreline. Forty 10m x 10 m quadrats for high density areas and twenty 20m x 20m quadrats for low density areas were randomly established basing on vegetation zone stratification. In each line transect, five plots were placed randomly for sample collection. In each of the plantations, five transects were laid where ten plots were placed systematically per transect. Fifty plots in each plantation were sampled. The various vegetation parameters that were measured included plant population, tree height using a pre-marked long pole and diameter at breast height (DBH) which was measured for each tree with a DBH meter at 1.3m above the ground (Thompson, 2015) and by use of Vanier calipers. These measurements were then used to determine the tree basal area (m2/ha), stand density (stems/ha), importance value and frequency (Cintron and Schaeffer-Novelli, 1984). In addition to this, diameter size class distribution obtained from the DBH was used to describe the forest structure of the mangroves. 3.3.2 Biomass and Carbon Stock accumulation estimates 3.3.2.1 Aboveground Carbon In the natural forest stand, ten line transects were laid perpendicularly to the shoreline. Forty 10m x 10 m quadrats for high density areas and twenty 20m x 20m quadrats for low density areas were randomly established basing on vegetation zone stratification. In each line transect, five plots were placed randomly for sample collection. In each of the plantations, five transects were laid where ten plots were placed systematically per transect. Fifty plots in each plantation were sampled. This was then followed by identification of individual trees whose diameter is greater than 2.5 cm. The GPS coordinates for each plot was taken and trees marked using a colored ribbon. Vegetation parameters that were sampled both on the plantations and the natural stand were diameter at breast height (DBH); which was measured for each tree using a DBH meter at 1.3 m above the ground (Thompson, 2015) and tree height in meters using a pre- marked long pole. 3.3.2.2 Belowground biomass Below ground biomass was sampled using the improvised soil coring method according to Tamooh et al (2008). This method involves random selection of trees within the 10m x 10 m plots for root coring. Cores (60cm length and 7 cm diameter) were made in three 20cm vertical root profile; 0 - 20cm, 20 - 40cm, and 40 - 60cm at each of the parent root base chosen for coring. These vertical root profiles were obtained by hammering the corer into the root base of the selected tree. Seven trees in each plot were randomly selected for root coring. Each sample was then carried to the seashore and washed using a 1mm mesh sieve. Fresh live roots (brown in color) were then put in a labeled carrier bag and kept in a refrigerator until processed. Roots were then separated into different diameter classes; i.e., 5mm, between 5-10mm, 10-20mm, 20-30mm, 30-40mm, 40- 50mm, and larger than 50mm using a Vanier calipers. The screened roots were then stored and dried at 70oC in an oven; to obtain the dry weight (Ha et al., 2018). The following procedure was used to collect soil sample for nutrient analysis (Nitrogen in form of NO3-, NH4+and phosphorus in form of PO43-). Soil samples were collected at varying depth profiles of 0-20 cm, 20-40 cm and 40-60 cm using a soil corer. The soil samples were then put in a carrier bag and stored in cool boxes for transfer in the laboratory for analysis (Tamooh et al ., 2008). 3.4 Data analysis 3.4.1 Analysis of species structure and stand composition One-way ANOVA was performed on total stocking densities of different size classes, to be assumed as a measure of age, plant population, tree height and diameter at breast height (DBH). The relative density, dominance, relative frequency was estimated and the importance value index for each species was established according to Dahdouh- Guebas and Koedam (2006). These measurements were then used to determine the tree basal area (m2/ha), stand density (stems/ha), importance value and frequency (Cintron & Schaeffer-Novelli, 1984). In addition to this, diameter size class distribution obtained from the DBH was used to describe the forest structure of the mangroves. The following equations were used for the calculations of the various community indices: Basal area for each tree species was determined as the sum of the area of cross section for all the tree species at DBH. Basal area (m2ha-1) = pie/4(dbh)2 =0.00007854 D1302 × 10000...........3.1 Stand density (Density per hectare) = (Number of stems in plots X 10000)/ plot area. Relative density × 100…........3.2 Relative dominance X 100……….........3.3 Relative frequency X 100………..3.4 Importance Value Index (IVI) = Relative Density + Relative Dominance + Relative frequency......................................................................................................................3.5 3.4.2 Analysis on estimation of biomass and carbon stock accumulation Analysis was carried out using Microsoft Excel spreadsheet 2010 and Statistica 8. All data were tested for normality and homogeneity of variance and normalized where necessary for parametric tests. Mean values of biomass and carbon data sets that were collected from various representative sites of the Creek were subjected to significance tests using one-way ANOVA to compare the total variation in the above and below ground mean biomass and carbon accumulation. Descriptive and simple statistical calculations were used to determine root densities and vertical distribution of each species encountered. These were then described using a summary of graphical presentations. The following equation was used for determination of biomass content; AGB =0.251.D2.46;(Komiyama et al. 2005), ................................................................3.6 Where; AGB is the aboveground biomass in kg, .= is the wood density in gcm-3, D= is the tree diameter at breast height in cm. Carbon content was calculated through multiplication of biomass content of the mangrove tree species by its specific carbon concentration using a default value of 0.5 (; Mcleod and Salm, 2006; Kauffman and Donato, 2012). Specific wood density values as developed by Bosire et al. (2012) were used for computing tree biomass. These values are as shown in the table 3.1 below: Table 3. 1: Specific densitiy for different mangrove species (Bosire et al., 2012) Mangrove species Wood density (gcm-3) Rhizophora mucronata Avicenia marina Bruguiera gymnorrhiza Ceriops tagal Xylocarpus granatum 1.1 0.9 1.3 1.1 0.8 The equation by Komiyama et al. (2005) was used in calculation of aboveground biomass because it clearly outlines how carbon content can be easily obtained from the specific wood densities of different species. However, its limitation is that it fails to provide the specific wood densities for different mangrove species and so, his equation must be linked to the specific wood densities that were developed by other researches like Bosire et al. (2012) 3.4.3 Analysis for carbon sequestration for the managed mangroves This was done using the SPSS software where the mean values for total carbon sequestered in the dry season was calculated independently and compared with that which was sequestered during the rainy season for a period of 11 months. The percentage carbon sequestration was determined using the formula below: x100..........3.7 3.4.4 Soil analysis Data collected was analyzed using SPSS version 20 and Microsoft spreadsheet statistical packages. Logarithmic transformation was done on soil and nutrient data. One-way ANOVA was used to determine whether there is any difference between carbon stocks, nutrient concentration between sites and within blocks in the plantation. Correlation analysis was carried out to determine if belowground biomass is dependent on nutrient availability. Soil nutrient analysis was done using the procedure outlined by Okalebo et al. (2002) as discussed below: 3.4.4.1 Ammonium determination An amount of 10 grams of oven dried, ground and sieved soil was accurately weighed and placed into a plastic shaking bottle. 100 ml of 0.5M potassium sulphate was added and the contents shaken for 1 hour in a mechanical rotary shaker. The contents were then filtered through No. 42 Whatman filter paper. 5.0 ml of reagent N1 (prepared by dissolving 34g of sodium salicylate, 25g sodium citrate and 25g sodium tartrate together in 750ml distilled H2O) was added to 0.2ml of the extract in a test tube and allowed to stand for fifteen minutes. 5.0 ml of reagent N2 (prepared by dissolving 30g NaOH in 750ml distilled water and adding 10 ml sodium hypochlorite, then making up to 1 liter) was then added to the above mixture and allowed to settle for 1 hour. The blue colored solution was then read through UV/VS spectrophotometer at a wavelength of 655 nm and compared to the standard curve of ammonium solution. The amount of ammonium concentration in the soil sample was calculated as: NH4-N(ug kg-1) = {(a-b)*V*MCF*f*1000}/w..............................................................3.8 Where a= concentration of N in the solution, b= concentration of N the blank, v= volume of the extract; w= weight of the fresh soil; MCF= moisture correction factor; f= multiplication factor. 3.4.4.2 Nitrate determination An amount of 10 grams of oven dried, ground and sieved soil was accurately weighed and placed into a plastic shaking bottle. 100 ml of 0.5M potassium sulphate was added and the contents shaken for 1 hour in a mechanical rotary shaker at room temperature. The contents were then filtered through No. 42 Whattman filter paper. The extract was then transferred (0.5ml) to a test tube followed by 1.0ml salicylic acid and allowed to settle for 30 minutes. 10ml of 4M NaOH was added to the mixture and allowed to settle for one hour for the yellow color to develop. The yellow colored solution was then read through UV/VS spectrophotometer at a wavelength of 419 nm and compared to the standard curve of nitrate solutions. For determination of nitrate, the formula below was used; NO3-1(ug Kg-1) = {(a-b)*V*MCF*1000}/w...................................................................3.9 Where a= concentration of NO3-1 in the solution, b= concentration of NO3-1 the blank, v= volume of the extract; w= weight of the fresh soil; MCF= moisture correction factor. 3.4.4.3 Phosphate determination An amount of 2.5 grams of oven dried, ground and sieved soil was accurately weighed and place into a 150cm3 shaking bottle. 50 ml of the Olsen‘s extracting solution (0.5 M NaHCO3 PH 8.5) was added. The mixture was then shaken for 30 minutes, and then filtered using a Whattman filter paper. An amount of 10ml of the sample filtrate was then transferred into 50ml volumetric flask and 5ml of 0.8M boric acid was added to the filtrate. This was then followed by 10ml of the ascorbic acid and topped up to the mark with distilled water. The mixture was left to stand for 1 hour for a clear blue color to form. The absorbance of the solution was read at a wavelength of 880 nm using a UV/VS spectrophotometer and compared to the standard curve for phosphate concentration. The concentration of phosphorus in each sample was calculated using the formulae below; P(mg kg-1) ……………………………………………………4.0 Where a =the concentration of P in the sample; b =the concentration of P in the blank; v =volume of the extracting solution; f = dilution factor; w =weight of the sample. 3.4.4.4 Soil organic carbon An amount of 0.30g of ground soil was put into a clean, labelled 100ml-digestion tube and the weight recorded. 2ml of distilled water was added, followed by 10ml 5% potassium dichromate solution. The above mixture was carefully titrated with 5ml sulphuric acid and digested at 150oC for 30 minutes. After cooling, 50cm3 of 0.4% BaCl2 was added to the mixture; swirled and the volume topped up to 100 ml with distilled water. This was then left to stand overnight for a visible supernatant solution to form. A small amount of the supernatant was then transferred into a colorimeter cuvette and the absorbance measured at 600nm. The percentage of total organic carbon in the dry soil was calculated as follows; % organic carbon ={(a-b) *0.10}/w...............................................................................4.1 Where, a=concentration of Cr3+ in the sample; b =concentration of chromic (III) ion in the blank; w= weight of soil taken for analysis. (Okalebo et al., 2002). Soil organic carbon (Mg ha-1) was then calculated as the product of percentage of organic carbon and a default value of 56% according to Brady (1990) and Pearson et al. (2005). Therefore; Soil organic carbon (SOC) (Mg ha-1 ) = % organic carbon*0.56...................................4.2 CHAPTER FOUR 4 RESULTS 4.1 Structural characteristics In the dry season, average height and stem diameter for the Rhizophora mucronata in 15 year-old Kibusa plantation was 4.8±1.7 m and 3.0±2.5cm respectively. During the wet season, the average height and stem diameter for the Rhizophora mucronata was 6.8±1.7m and 4.0±2.5cm respectively. This means that there was a significant increase in both height and stem diameter during the wet season (P<0.05). The mean height for Rhizophora mucronata in 20 year-old Green Island Plantation was found to be 2.8±1.7m while the mean stem diameter was found to be 2.8±1.2cm in the dry season. In the wet season, the mean height for Rhizophora mucronata in the Green Island Plantation was found to be 3.9±2.7m while the mean stem diameter was found to be 4.8±1.2cm. This shows a significant increase in both height and stem diameter after the dry spell. In the Natural Stand, the mean height for Rhizophora mucronata was obtained to be 4.9±0.1m while the mean diameter was found to be 5.9±0.2cm for the dry season. In the wet season, the average height for Rhizophora mucronata was estimated to be 5.8±0.1m while the mean diameter was found to be 6.7±0.2cm. Generally, both height and stem diameter for all the species increased during the wet season as a result of nutrients brought into the mangrove ecosystem by the surface run off. Table (4.1 and 4.2) below shows the structural characteristics for the Plantations and the Natural Stand for both dry and rainy season. Table 4. 1: Structural characteristics of plantations and the Natural Stand for dry season in Mida Creek, Kenya (N= Number of individuals per species, IVI = Importance Value Index) Study Site Species Relative values in % N Mean Height(m) Basal Area (m2/ha) Density Dominance Frequency IVI Kibusa plantation A. marina 4 7.8±3.1 0.04 1.21 14.34 9.07 24.63 B. gymnorrhiza 41 2.5 ±1.3 0.001 12.42 0.36 18.15 30.93 C. tagal 108 4.2±1.5 0.079 32.73 28.33 27.22 88.28 R. mucronata 161 4.8±1.7 0.151 48.79 54.14 31.76 134.69 X. granatum 16 4.4±1.2 0.0079 4.85 2.83 13.61 21.29 Green Island A. marina 13 1.5±2.5 0.185 4.78 48.43 22.22 75.43 B. gymnorrhiza 63 2.8±1.7 0.087 23.16 22.77 16.67 62.60 C. tagal 63 5.1±1.9 0.044 24.32 11.52 27.78 62.45 R. mucronata 133 2.8±1.7 0.066 48.90 17.27 33.33 99.51 Natural stand A. marina 96 5.2±1.5 1.38 34.29 45.25 35.71 115.25 B. gymnorrhiza 20 4.9±2.3 0.39 7.14 12.79 14.28 34.22 C. tagal 45 3.5±1.2 0.10 16.07 3.28 17.86 37.20 R. mucronata 71 4.9±0.1 0.39 25.36 12.79 14.29 52.43 X. granatum 48 5.8±1.2 0.79 17.14 25.90 17.86 60.90 Table 4. 2: Structural characteristics of plantations and the Natural stand for the wet season in Mida Creek, Kenya (N= Number of individuals per species, IVI = Importance Value Index) Study Site Species Relative values in % N Mean Height(m) Basal Area (m2 ha-1) Density Dominance Frequency IVI Kibusa plantation A. marina 4 8.4±1.3 0.069 39.33 17.94 9.07 19.22 B. gymnorrhiza 41 5.6±5.8 0.072 18.22 13.69 18.15 44.26 C. tagal 108 5.2±3.4 0.095 37.23 37.06 27.22 78.01 R. mucronata 161 6.8±1.7 0.30 56.4.3 57.03 31.76 137.58 X. granatum 16 5.3±6.2 0.012 17.14 9.28 13.61 20.74 Green Island A. marina 13 7.7±3.5 0.72 24.35 58.52 22.22 27.70 B. gymnorrhiza 63 4.2±2.7 0.50 30.26 29.74 16.67 41.57 C. tagal 63 6.2.±1.9 0.34 36.29 34.21 27.78 51.29 R. mucronata 133 3.9±2.7 0.42 58.60 31.21 33.33 179.44 Natural stand A. marina 96 6.6±1.5 2.82 42.27 53.35 35.71 96.35 B. gymnorrhiza 20 6.2±2.3 0.56 15.40 17.73 14.28 32.15 C. tagal 45 4.8±1.2 0.38 23.64 9.82 17.86 58.75 R. mucronata 71 5.5±0.1 0.56 45.25 23.09 14.29 72.74 X. granatum 48 6.7±1.2 1.32 29.32 35.01 17.86 40.00 The total basal area during dry season for Rhizophora mucronata in 15 year-old Kibusa and the 20 year-old Green Island Plantations were 0.151m2/ha and 0.066m2/ha respectively while that for the Natural Stands was 0.39m2/ha. When this was compared to the rainy season after the ten months, it was found that the total basal area for Rhizophora mucronata in Kibusa Plantation, Green Island Plantations and Natural Stands were 0.30, 0.42, 0.56 m2/ha respectively. This showed that there was increase in -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 kibusa plantation natural stand Green Island plantation Basal area m2/ha for R. mucronata Study site dry season wet season the total basal area after the ten-month period as shown in figure 4.1. However, there was a significant difference between the Plantations and the Natural Stands in terms of tree height, basal area, and stem diameter. Kibusa Plantation showed a significantly larger value for both tree height, stem diameter, and basal area than in the Natural Stands (Tukey test, P<0.005). Figure 4. 1: Changes in basal area for different mangrove species for the plantations and the natural stand in Mida Creek, Kenya R. mucronata was the dominating species in the 15 year-old Kibusa plantation hence mono-stand. However, there was recolonization by species like B. gymnorrhiza, Ceriops tagal and X. granatum. After the ten-month period, the total stem density was estimated to be 3666.67stems/ha and 4533.33 stems/ha for Kibusa and Green Island Plantations respectively, while that for the natural stand was found to be 1120 stems/ha. 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 <3 3.1-5 5.1-7 7.1-9 9.1-11 11.1-13 13.1-15 15.1-17 >17 Density (stems/ha) Size class(cm) 4.1.1 Size class distribution for the tree species The size class distribution based on DBH in the 20 year-old Green Island Plantation had a hypothetical negative exponential curve. This means that there was a higher stem density between the size class < 3cm (figure 4.2). Size classes <2 cm, and <5cm in Kibusa Plantation and Natural Stands respectively had the highest stem densities (figure 4.3 and 4.4). Figure 4.2: Size class distribution for tree species in 20 year-old Green Island Plantation 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 <2 2-2.5 2.6-3 3.1-3.5 3.6-4 4.1-5 5.1-5.5 5.6-6.0 6.1-7 >7 Density(stems/ha) Size class(cm) 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 <5 5.1-7 7.1-9 9.1-11 11.1-13 13.1-15 15.1-17 17.1-19 19.1-21 21.1-23 23.1-25 >25 Density (Stems/ha) Size class (cm) Figure 4.3: Size class distribution for tree species in 15 year-old Kibusa Plantation Figure 4.4: Size class distribution for tree species in the Natural Stand 4.1.2: Distribution of tree height against diameter Figures 4.5, 4.6, and 4.7 show the scatter plots for the tree height against diameter at breast height (DBH) at each study site. Thirty percent of the stem diameter in Kibusa Plantation indicates that most of the trees had a diameter class between 3.2-4.3 cm and a height between 3.5-4.5 m (Figure 4.5). In Green Island Plantation, the DBH ranged y = 0.4307x + 3.061 R² = 0.4177 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 0 5 10 15 20 Height (m) DBH130(cm) height Linear (height ) y = 0.3114x + 2.7946 R² = 0.2185 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 0 5 10 15 20 25 Height(m) DBH130(cm) Height Linear (Height) between 2.5-4.5 cm and a height of between 2.0-4.3m while in the Natural Stand, DBH ranged from 4-11cm and the height ranged from 3.7-7m (figure 4.6 and 4.7). Figure 4.5: Scatter plot diagram for height against diameter at breast height for mangrove trees in 15 year-old Kibusa Plantation Figure 4.6: Scatter plot diagram for height against diameter at breast height for mangrove trees in the 20 year-old Green Island Plantation y = 0.2184x + 3.3488 R² = 0.4642 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 0 10 20 30 40 50 Height(m) DBH130(cm) Height Linear (Height) Figure 4.7: Scatter plot diagram for height against diameter at breast height for mangrove trees in the Natural Stand 4.2 Carbon pools 4.2.1 Aboveground biomass The data obtained during dry seasons showed that the total aboveground biomass in 15 year-old Kibusa Plantation, 20 year-old Green Island Plantation and the Natural stand was 269.44±5.0 t/ha, 325.40±3.0 t/ha, and 3020.28±5.2 t/ha respectively. On the other hand, the data obtained during the wet season had a total aboveground biomass of 452.47±2.5 t/ha, 450.42±5.2 t/ha, and 3666.63±8.5 t/ha in Kibusa Plantation, Green Island Plantation, and Natural Stands respectively. The wet season had a higher aboveground biomass compared to that of the dry season in all the study sites. Avicenia marina had the highest biomass contribution in the natural stand followed by Bruguiera gymnorrhiza in both dry and wet season. However, in comparison to the dry season, biomass accumulation by the A. marina and B. gymnorrhiza was higher in the wet season. In in the 15 year-old Kibusa Plantation, biomass contribution by R. mucronata was highest in both dry and wet season. B. gymnorrhiza and C. tagal had almost similar biomass contribution in both dry and wet season. In the 20 year-old Green Island, A. marina had the highest aboveground biomass followed by B. gymnorrhiza in both dry and wet season. However aboveground biomass contribution for both A. marina and B. gymnorrhiza was higher in the wet season than in the dry season. There was variation in the percentage biomass contribution among the different mangrove species in all the three study sites for both dry and rainy season. Table 4. 3: Aboveground biomass contributions by different species encountered in the three different sites for both dry and wet season in Mida Creek, Kenya Site Species encountered ABG t C/ha Dry season (January) %contribution ABG t C/ha Wet season (October) %contribution Kibusa plantation A. marina 37.04±2.2 5.30 45.62±6.7 6.52 B. gymnorrhiza 36.93±4.6 5.28 70.83±7.2 10.13 C. tagal 54.47±1.8 7.79 70.89±3.4 10.14 X. granatum 4.39±9.7 0.70 5.23±4.6 0.77 R. mucronata 114.10±4.2 16.31 259.9±1.2 37.16 Total ABG t C/ha 269.44±5.0 35.28 452.47±2.5 64.72 Green Island plantation A. marina 192.44±3.4 24.80 220.36±7.8 28.40 B. gymnorrhiza 58.02±4.5 7.48 132.04±3.6 17.02 C. tagal 37.17±2.4 4.79 38.59± 4.8 4.97 R. mucronata 37.78±4.9 4.87 59.43±8.6 7.66 Total ABG t C/ha 325.40±3.0 41.95 450.42±5.2 58.05 Natural stand A. marina 1737.96±1.6 25.99 2175.79±4.6 32.54 B. gymnorrhiza 679.16±2.4 10.16 819.71±2.5 12.26 C. tagal 100.65±3.6 1.51 118.27±4.3 1.77 X. granatum 46.57±2.7 0.70 52.78±2.3 0.79 R. mucronata 455.95±3.8 6.82 500.08±2.2 7.49 Total ABG t C/ha 3020.28±5.2 45.15 3666.63±8.5 54.85 When 50% of the aboveground biomass is assumed to be carbon, then average aboveground carbon for Kibusa Plantation was computed and found to be 0.68±4.9 t C/ha in the dry season and had a range between 0.01381±8.5 and 9.2731±3.1 t C/ha. In the wet season the average aboveground carbon was 0.748±5.5t C/ha and had a range of 0.003929±2.7 – 10.9778±3.5 t C/ha. Green Island Plantation had an average aboveground biomass of 1.162±7.0 t C/ha and had a range of 0.00797±2.3-21.413±2.8 t C/ha in the dry season. In the wet season, Green Island Plantation had an average carbon of 1.65±4.7 t C/ha and had a range of 0.0047±2.1- 26.8851±3.8 t C/ha. The Natural Stand had the highest aboveground biomass with an average carbon of 1.162±7.0 t C/ha and 13.048±4.6 in dry and wet season respectively. Within the period of ten months, the amount of carbon sequestered by A. marina in the Kibusa Plantation, Green Island Plantation, and the Natural Stand was estimated to be 4.29±5.1 t C/ha, 13.96±4.5 t C/ha, and 218.92±1.3 t C/ha respectively. In contrast, the amount of carbon sequestered by R. mucronata within the ten-month period was estimated to be 72.90±2.6, 10.826±2.0, and 22.067±5.8 t C/ha in Kibusa Plantation, Green Island Plantation and Natural Stand respectively. The total amount of carbon sequestered by A. marina in all the three sites within the ten-month period was 237.16±5.3 t C/ha while that sequestered by R. mucronata was 105.80±4.7 t C/ha. Based on the ANOVA test done for the wet season, there was a significant difference in the aboveground biomass among the three different plantations since the calculated F (12.76373) is greater than the critical F (F;0.05 (1) 2,831=3.00065; P<0.05). This was also true for the dry season, where the calculated F (35.57665) was greater than the critical (F;0.05 (1) 2,882=3.00595). There was no significant difference in the aboveground biomass among the four different mangrove species (F;0.05, (1), 3,195=2.65; P>0.05) in the Natural stand. On the other hand, in Kibusa plantation, there was a significant difference in the aboveground biomass among the four different mangrove species (F;0.05 (1), 3,103=2.69; P<0.05). Table 4.4 below shows the amount of carbon sequestered between the two seasons from January to October. Table 4. 4: Sequestration potential of different mangrove species encountered in the three study sites Site Species encountered ABG g C/ha Dry season (January) ABG g C/ha Wet season (October) Amount of carbon sequestered % sequestration potential Kibusa Plantation R. mucronata 57.052±4.9 129.954±3.4 72.902±2.6 32.940 B. gymnorrhiza 18.465±5.7 35.415±3.7 16.95±4.3 16.494 C. tagal 27.236±6.6 35.444±4.9 8.207±4.5 7.986 X. granatum 2.195±3.8 0.419±2.5 0.419±3.4 0.408 A. marina 18.521±6.5 22.808±2.9 4.287±5.1 4.172 Total g C/ha 123.469±5.0 226.236±4.8 102.76±6.2 Average 0.6856±4.9 0.7483±5.5 Green Island Plantation B. gymnorrhiza 29.007±6.8 66.020±2.5 37.012±7.8 26.423 A. marina 96.219±2.1 110.178±1.6 13.958±4.5 21.279 R. mucronata 18.888±1.7 29.715±2.3 10.826±2.0 16.504 C. tagal 15.110±2.9 19.296±2.6 4.186±3.4 6.382 Total g C/ha 159.225±4.0 225.208±3.5 65.983±5.7 Average 1.162±7.0 1.650±4.7 Natural stand A. marina 868.979±2.4 1087.89±2.7 218.917±1.3 27.740 B. gymnorrhiza 339.579±4.6 409.853±1.6 70.275±4.7 21.745 R. mucronata 50.324±9.7 250.040±4.2 22.067±5.8 6.828 C. tagal 50.324±3.4 51.135±8.4 8.810±6.9 2.726 X. granatum 23.283±2.0 26.388±9.2 3.105±3.4 0.961 Total ABG g C/ha 1510.139±4.0 1833.313±7.9 323.174±5.0 Average 10.710±3.5 13.048±4.6 4.2.2 Belowground biomass Kibusa Plantation had the lowest root carbon concentration of 47.34±5.6 Mg C/ha (Figure 4.8). The natural stand had the highest root carbon concentration of 78.36±3.8 Mg C/ha, followed by the 20 year-old Green Island Plantation of 53.43±4.1 Mg C/ha. There was a significant difference in root carbon concentration among the three study sites (F;0.05, (1),2,67=3.05, P<0.05). There was a significant difference in belowground biomass between the natural stand and the two plantations (P<0.05, Tukey test). There was a significant difference in belowground biomass within the different depth profiles among the sites (F; 0.05, (1), 2, 67=5.14 P<0.05). However, there was no significant difference in root carbon concentration between Green Island Plantation and the Natural Stand (P>0.05, Turkey test). There was a significant difference in root carbon concentration between the depth profiles of 20-40cm and 40-60cm of the Kibusa Plantation and the other study sites (P<0.05, Tukey test). From the three study sites, the Kibusa Plantation had the lowest amount of root carbon concentration in all the three- depth profiles sampled i.e. 15±8.9 Mg C/ha, 30±7.4 Mg C/ha, and 17±6.6 Mg C/ha in 0- 20 cm, 20-40cm, and 40-60cm respectively. In all the three study sites, root carbon concentration was highest at the depth of 20-40 cm, where Kibusa Plantation, Natural Stand, and the Green Island Plantation recorded 30±4.2 Mg C/ha, 33±1.6 Mg C/ha, and 29.5±2.6 Mg C/ha respectively. 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 0-20 20-40 40-60 Root carbon(Mg C/ha) Depth profile Kibusa Natural Green Island Figure 4.8: Total root carbon distribution among different depth profiles across different study sites in Mida Creek, Kenya 4.2.3 Soil organic carbon (SOC) The 15 year-old Kibusa Plantation had the least SOC with a mean of 2156.27±736.50 Mg ha-1 .The 20 year-old Green Island Plantation had the highest amount of SOC in the rainy season with a mean of 9714.79±4732.56 Mg ha-1. This was followed by the Natural Stand, which had an average of 3544.25±1149.37 Mg ha-1. There is no significant difference between the means of the samples from the two seasons since the calculated t (t=1.527) was less than the critical t (t=4.30) (t 0.05(2),3=1.527). Figure 4.9 below summarizes the variation in SOC between the dry and rainy season. 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 Natural stand Kibusa plantation Green Island plantation Average Soil Organic Carbon (Mg ha-1) Study sites Dry season Rainy season Figure 4.9: Mean soil carbon stocks for the plantations and natural stands in Mida Creek, Kenya In the dry season, there was no significance difference in the amount of SOC between the three different sites (F0.05(1)2,15=0.35, p>0.05). This was also true for the rainy season where there was no significance difference in the amount of SOC among the different sites (F 0.05(1)2,15=3.55, p>0.05). Based on soil profile, SOC increased with increase in depth in both the Plantations and the Natural Stand. At a depth of 50-100cm, there was the highest amount of SOC while the depth of 0-15 had lowest amount of SOC in both dry and rainy season. In 15 year-old Kibusa Plantation, 56.3% of the total SOC in the upper 100 cm was contributed by that obtained at 50-100 cm depth while that of the 20-year-old Green Island Plantation and the natural stand were 83.5% and 44.3% respectively. There was a more significant difference in soil organic carbon concentration between 50-100 cm depth profile and other depth profiles (P < 0.05, Tukey test). 4.2.4: Total carbon stocks Total carbon stock was obtained by summing up all the carbon components accounted for during the study. Average total carbon stocks were estimated for the whole period of study. Kibusa and Green Island Plantation had an average of 199.00±11.68 Mg C/ha and 734.88±50.01 Mg C/ha respectively, while the Natural Stand had 338.34±31.09 Mg C/ha. The total carbon stocks differed significantly between the sites (F;0.05(1),2,6 = 262.91, P < 0.05). There was a significant difference between the two Plantations and Natural Stand (P < 0.05, Tukey test). Plantations had a significant amount of soil organic carbon compared to the Natural Stand. Of all the carbon pools sampled, soil organic carbon was highest in all the study sites (Table 4.5) Table 4. 5: Carbon stocks in Mg C ha-1 for various carbon pools of Natural Stand and Plantations of Mida Creek, Kenya Carbon stock Mg C/ha Aboveground carbon Belowground carbon Soil organic carbon Total Carbon Stock Kibusa Plantation 0.717±1.62 47.34±2.7 150.94±7.36 199.00±11.68 Green Island Plantation 1.406±0.179 53.43±25 680.04±47.33 734.88±50.01 Natural Stand 11.879±1.04 78.36±18.56 248.1±11.49 338.34±31.09 4.3: Nutrients status 4.3.1: Phosphates During the dry season, Green Island Plantation had the highest phosphate concentration with a mean of 43.09±10.35 mg kg-1. This was followed by the Natural Stands, which had an average phosphate concentration of 31.44±3.44 mg kg-1. Kibusa Plantation had 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Natural stand Green Island plantation Kibusa plantation Mean phosphate (mg/kg) Study sites wet season dry season the least phosphate concentration with a mean of 29.72±3.36 mg kg-1. There was a significant difference in phosphate concentration among the three study sites (F0.05;(1)2,64 =1.22, P< 0.05). In Kibusa Plantation, the phosphate concentration decreased with increase in depth profile while the Green Island Plantation and Natural Stands displayed a fluctuating trend with 0-20 cm depth having the highest concentrations. During the rainy season, the Green Island Plantation had an average phosphate concentration of 66.92±24.77 mg kg-1, while the Kibusa Plantation had an average of 34.48±4.67 mg kg-1. The Natural Stands had an average phosphate concentration of 41.21±2.31 mg kg-1. In comparison to the dry season, the rainy season had a higher phosphate concentration in all the study sites (Figure 4.10). Figure 4.10: Amount of phosphate in the sediment of plantations and natural stand A significant difference in phosphorus concentration was obtained between different depth profiles within the study sites (F;0.05 (1), 63, =5.631, P< 0.05). In depth profiles like 50-100 cm, there was a significant difference in the quantity of phosphorus compared to other depth profiles (P<0.05, Tukey test). 4.3.2: Ammonium During the dry season, the Kibusa Plantation had an average ammonium concetration of 191.56 µg/kg while the Green Island Plantation and the Natural Stand had an average concentartion of 141.02 µg/kg and 141.28 µg/kg respectively. According to the Anova test done to compare the variation in ammonium concentration among the three different sites, it was found that there is a significant difference in ammonium concentration among the three different sites (F;0.05(1) 2,63, =3.63, P<0.05). There was a significant difference in the ammonium concentration between Kibusa Plantation and Natural Stands (P< 0.05, Turkey test). There was a significant difference in ammonium concentration between the Green Island Plantation and the other two sites (P.0.05, Turkey test). According to depth profile, there was a rise in ammonium concentration with rise in depth and the maximum amount of ammonium was between the depth of 50-100 cm in both wet and dry season. However, when the amount of ammonium in the dry season was compared to that of the rainy season, it was found that the rainy season had a significantly higher ammonium concentration (Figure 4.11). 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Natural stand Kibusa plantation Green Island plantation Average Ammonium (ug/kg) Study sites Wet season Dry season Figure 4.11: Amount of Ammonium in the sediment of Plantations and Natural Stands in Mida Creek, Kenya 4.3.3 Nitrates On average, the Natural Stand had the highest concentration of nitrates (27.466 µg/kg), followed by the Green Island Plantation (21.15 µg/kg). Kibusa Plantation had the least nitrate concentration of 20.60 µg/kg (Figure 4.12). There was a significant difference in nitrate concentration among the three different sites (F;2, =1.14, P<0.05). Nitrate concentration decreased with increase in depth. 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Natural stand Kibusa plantation Green Island plantation Mean Nitrate (ug/kg) Study sites Wet season Dry season Figure 4.12: Amount of Nitrate in the sediment of Plantations and Natural Stands in Mida Creek, Kenya 4.3.4 Belowground biomass and Nutrient status In the Natural Stand, in all the depths sampled, belowground biomass was found not to be negatively correlated with the amount of phosphorus (n=54, r =0.0, p > 0.05). This was also true for both Kibusa and Green Island Plantations. However, there was a strong positive correlation between nitrogen and belowground biomass in all the sampled areas (n= 54, r=0.72, P<0.05). Ammonium was also positively correlated to the BGB but it had a weak correlation in both the Natural Stand and the plantations (n=54, r = 0.56, P>0.05). In general, nitrogen significantly contributed to the accumulation of the belowground biomass of the mangrove species in the Mida Creek. CHAPTER FIVE 5 DISCUSSION CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 5.1 DISCUSSION 5.1.1 Forest structure In all the Plantations, the species Importance Value Index (IVI) for R. mucronata was the highest (95.54), making it the most dominant species. This is because R. mucronata was established as a mono-stand in the Plantations with high density. In the Natural Stand mangroves, A. marina had the highest Importance Value Index (115.25) hence the most dominant species followed by X. granatum (Table 4.5). In the Natural Stand, Kibusa Plantation and Green Island Plantation, R. mucronata had an overall basal area of 0.151, 0.39, 0.066 m2/ha respectively. Based on stem density, the 20 year-old Green Island Plantation had the highest stem density of 4533.33 stems/ha followed by the 15 year-old Kibusa Plantation which had 3666.67stems/ha. Management practices like thinning had been done for the mangrove trees in the Green Island Plantation and this had an effect of reducing the stand density but allowing biomass increase. Since no thinning had been done in the 15 year-old Kibusa Plantation, the mangroves there in recorded a high stem density compared to the 20-year-old Green Island Plantation. This is because the mangroves in the 15 year-old Kibusa Plantation were younger than the Natural Stand and the 20 year-old Green Island Plantation were. Unlike the Plantations, the Natural Stands had the lowest stem density. This was due to increased spacing between trees with comparatively bigger stem diameters. Furthermore, the mangroves in the Natural forest had been exposed to disturbance such as logging for fuel wood and timber, which consequently led to decline in tree stem density. Similar study was done in Florida by Lugo, (2009) and reported a high abundance of regenerated mangroves in a young eleven-year old plantation of R. mangle. Factors that might have contributed to discrepancy between the results on stem density for Plantations and Natural Stands include, planting density, sapling survival rate, and recruitment of seedlings at early stages of forest development (Sreelekshmi et al., 2020). In addition to this, space exploitation, resource exploitation and increased light competition between adult trees also contribute to the differences in plant stem density in the three different sites (Sreelekshmi et al., 2020). Regardless of Kibusa Plantation having, the highest stem density compared to the Green Island Plantation; its basal area is proportionately smaller. According to a study by Zadworny et al. (2020), they reported that a negative correlation between stand density and basal area is a characteristic of a developing forest. The stem diameters in 15 year-old Kibusa Plantation are relatively larger than those reported by Kairo et al. (2020) for the Kinondo Plantation in the Gazi bay Kenya. The pattern of tree distribution for the mangroves in the Natural Stands based on DBH size class follows an inverse J-shaped curve, where the number of trees decrease with increase in the stem diameter (Figure 4.2). This is so because seedlings and saplings have a comparatively higher growth rate than matured trees, and hypothetically because of degradation by age in an unequal-aged forest (Hayes et al., 2017). However, the curve can be modified by biotic and abiotic factors. The biotic factors that can modify the curve include overharvesting tree for charcoal, fuel, medicines and fencing poles, interspecific competition for the limited resources, and regeneration patterns. The abiotic factors that can modify the curve include; sediment characteristics, and unpredictable seasonal climatic events, sea level rise, and soil nutrient status (Sreelekshmi et al., 2020). Variation in diameter size class has been used in assessment of level of disturbance within forests (Sreelekshmi et al., 2020), and to discover patterns in regeneration (Zadworny et al., 2020). The distribution of tree density across different DBH classes also elucidates the extent of resource utility by the growing forest (Hudak et al., 2020; Sreelekshmi et al., 2020). Similarities in most structural aspects between the mangroves in the Plantations and those in the Natural Stand stipulate that reforestation can be used to change the human induced degradation through illegal logging, thereby restoring the ecosystem functions (Kairo et al., 2020). 5.1.2 Carbon pools 5.1.2.1 Aboveground biomass (AGB) carbon In this study, there was a significant difference in aboveground carbon among the three sites. The mangrove species in the Natural Stand had a high aboveground carbon compared to the Plantations. This can be due to the difference in the age, since they were older (Jagodzinski et al., 2019), difference in soil nutrient regime (Weaver et al., 2020), differences in topography, light conditions, natural disturbances and their interactions (Gillis et al., 2019). The 15 year-old Kibusa and the 20 year-old Green Island Plantations had younger mangrove trees compared to the Natural Stand, which had trees for more than 51 years old (Owuor et al., 2019). This explains why the Natural Stand had a higher foliage and consequently higher primary productivity compared to the Plantations. In addition to this, the high species richness in the Natural Stand can also explain why there was higher aboveground carbon since it was a mixed stand compared to the Plantations (Cohen et al., 2016). These results conforms to many previous studies which showed that biodiversity impacted on biomass production (Chen and Zhang, 2017). Maintenance practices done on the Plantations such as pruning could also be a plausible reason to the low amount of aboveground carbon in Plantations since this leads to loss of biomass (Hassan et al.,2018). Other factors that might have contributed to the variation in the aboveground biomass include global positioning of the mangrove forest. In this case, mangroves located near the seashore may differ from those in the offshore in terms of height and stem diameter. This is due to the differences in the nutrient statuses, soil type, and wave effects in these zones. Ecological differences between different mangrove positions may also contribute to the variations in the aboveground biomass in the mangrove species (Trujillo et al., 2020). This is due to the differences in the level of microbial activities that cause decomposition that leads to nutrient availability within a given plantation. Plant age may also lead to differences in the AGB that is noticed within the three sites since in each year, in dicotyledonous stems, there is annual increase in girth of a tree (Jagodzinski et al., 2019). The results obtained from this study on the aboveground biomass for the Plantations agree well with other research studies in other countries. For instance, a study carried out by Abib and Appaddo, (2016) in Mauritius on mangrove plantations where they obtained the aboveground biomass to be 16.63 t/ha. This is almost equal to that obtained in this research study, which was found to be 13.67 t/ha for the 20 year-old Green Island Plantation. In another research study conducted by Kridiborworn et al., (2012) in Central Thailand, the aboveground carbon was estimated to be 140.49 Mg C/ha in twelve-year old Rhizophora apiculate plantation. This was lower than that reported for the R. mucronata in the 15 year-old Kibusa Plantation which was estimated to be 226.24 Mg C/ha. Similarly, the aboveground carbon reported in Japan for a mangrove plantation made of R. mucronata was estimated to be 108 Mg/ha (Komiyama et al., 2008; Abib and Appaddo., 2016). In Malaysia, the research done in Matang Forest Plantation, the AGB carbon for both 18 and 23-year old R. apiculata was estimated to be 60 and 77.5 Mg C/ha. These values are lower than that obtained from the 15 year-old Kibusa Plantation of Mida Creek. In the Natural Stand, the aboveground carbon values obtained in this study were corresponding to those obtained from similar research studies in other countries. For instance, in the West African mangroves, Cameroon, Gabon, DRC and the Republic of Congo reported an estimate of the aboveground carbon to be 22.5 Mg C/ha, 170.5 Mg C/ha, 125.5 Mg C/ha, and 204.5 Mg C/ha respectively (Ajonina et al., 2016). This was similar to the results obtained from the Mexican mangroves which was estimated to be 176 Mg C/ha (Adame et al., 2016). This was also true for the mangroves in Yap of Micronesia which aboveground carbon estimate of 249 Mg C/ha (Donato et al., 2017). Based on the results from these studies, it is true to say that, there exist great variations in aboveground biomass and carbon stocks for R. mucronata and for other mangrove species across the world. 5.1.2.2 Belowground biomass The results obtained from the above study indicates that the Natural Stand had the highest belowground root carbon, followed by the Green Island Plantation while Kibusa Plantation had the least concentration of the belowground carbon. The high root carbon concentration in the Natural Stand compared to the two Plantations could be due to low amount of phosphate (Mommer et al., 2018). This can also be explained by the proper root development of the mature trees in the Natural Stand (Paul et al., 2019). The low root carbon concentration in the 15 year-old Kibusa Plantation could be attributed to their age since a young forest has incomplete root development (Johnson and Freudenberger 2015). The trees were not yet mature hence their root systems were not well developed. This low root carbon content in the Kibusa Plantation could also be due to reduced species diversity there in (Mommer et al., 2018). Root carbon concentration was abundant at the depth of 20-40 cm in all the three study sites. A plausible reason to this could be due to the presence of low nutrient concentration at this depth profile, requiring plants to invest more carbon in roots to maximally absorb available nutrients (Zhang et al., 2015; Chen et al., 2018). The higher belowground biomass at this depth (20-40 cm) may also be associated with relatively slow carbohydrate metabolization from roots, resulting from low respiration rates underneath (Ren et al., 2017). More so, since the mangroves grow in a soft substrate, their roots grow to a deep profile to provide anchorage to make them withstand storm and tide inundation effect (Srikanth et al., 2016). This depth is also appropriate for the root development since it allows for aeration in the soil (Cheng et al., 2015). This result agrees with that found in a study conducted by Castaneda-Moya et al. (2011) who reported a high root carbon concentration at a depth of 0-40 cm compared to deeper root zones where there were no free air circulations. The deeper horizons had low root carbon concentration due to lack oxygen coupled with low microbial activities in these zones (Rozainah et al., 2018). Tamooh et al. (2008), did a similar research in Gazi Bay, Kenya and they found a lower root carbon concentration in a twelve-year-old plantation dominated by R. mucronata. In their study, they estimated belowground biomass for the Natural Stand to be 18.1 Mg C/ha and that for the twelve-year old R. mucronata to be 17.9 Mg Cha-1. In Gabon and DRC Congo, belowground root carbon was estimated to be75.5 Mg Cha-1 and 61 Mg Cha-1 respectively (Ajonina et al., 2014). These results were equivalent to that obtained in this study where in the Natural Stand, belowground biomass content was 78.36 Mg Cha-1. However, in a similar research done in Cameroon by Ajonina et al. (2014), the root carbon content for Rhizophora. racemosa was higher (153 Mg Cha-1) compared to the root carbon content for R. mucronata in the 20 year-old Green Island Plantation (53.4 Mg C/ha). In a research study done by Komiyama et al. (2008) in Halmahera Island, Eastern Indonesia, the belowground carbon content for Rhizophora. apiculata was reported to be 98.05 Mg Cha-1 which was higher compared to that obtained in the 20 year-old Green Island Plantation of the Mida Creek for R. mucronata. In Thailand, the belowground root carbon for mangroves of Sawi Bay in the natural stand dominated by R. mucronata was reported to range between 70.3-176.3 Mg C/ha (Matsui et al., 2012). Studies by Lovelock, 2008 in the Cuban mangroves, the total belowground biomass for the R. mucronata forest at a sampling depth of 40 cm was reported to be 16.3 Mg C/ha. This is lower compared to that obtained in the 15 year-old Kibusa Plantation of the Mida Creek for the R. mucronata (47.34 Mg C/ha). Studies by Fujimoto et al. (1999) and Kridiborworn et al. 2012 reported that belowground root carbon for Rhizophora species ranges between 19.5-142 Mg C/ha. As an adaptive feature for living in soft and wet sediment in the mangrove ecosystem, mangrove trees have a higher amount of belowground biomass. This is due to their inability to support too much weight on the aboveground without a heavy root system (Peng et al., 2018). The root carbon content estimates obtained from this study differs significantly from those given in the reviewed literature. These estimates differ due to adoption of different methods for the study such as different sampling techniques. Other factors that might have contributed to this disparity include species, soil type and hydrological properties, climatic conditions of the study area and the age of the mangroves (Hogarth, 2015). 5.1.2.3 Soil organic carbon (SOC) In this study, soil organic carbon content was low in the Natural Stand compared to that in both Kibusa and Green Island Plantations. The high soil organic carbon in the plantations is due to previous deposition by the pre-existing stands. Another reason could be due to deposition of sediment from dryland. The higher soil organic carbon stocks in the Green Island Plantation shows that there was incomplete oxidation of carbon from the dead debris after the destruction of the pre-existing stand. The soil organic content also increased during the rainy season due to increased deposition by soil erosion from the hinterland. The higher SOC in the young plantations can also be due to high root turnover rate. The sustained anoxic conditions in the Plantations than in the Natural stand could also provide a plausible reason for the high soil organic content therein (Xiong et al., 2019). This is because, unlike the Plantations, the Natural Stand had been degraded and exposed to the scorching sun effects, which provided better conditions for microbial decomposition, resulting to low organic matter in the soil (Duan et al., 2018). During the study, an observation was made for the periodic inundation of the Plantations, especially during the neap tide. This led to anoxic conditions in the Plantations and some parts of the Natural Stand at such times. Consequently, there is a slower rate of decomposition of organic matter in the sediment in the Plantations and the affected parts of the Natural Stand (Xiong et al., 2019). This therefore led to high accumulation of the organic debris in the Plantations compared to the Natural Stands where microbial decomposition was not severely affected by inundation. This result is analogous to the findings by Pandey et al. (2016) who found that mangrove ecosystems exposed to adequate inundation had higher soil organic content due to a low rate of microbial decomposition. Accumulation of SOC in the mangrove sediment can be due to inputs of organic carbon in form of litter, tide and root turnover while depletion of carbon from the mangrove sediment may be due to mineralization, dilution by inorganic material and export by tide (Chen et al., 2020). The high SOC content in the 20 year-old Green Island Plantation can also be explained by the fact that it was dominated by the R. mucronata. This species has unique features responsible for sediment trapping. Some of these features include stilt roots, which is a complex root system (Chaudhuri et al., 2019). The complex root system is responsible for trapping and providing a suitable environment for accumulation of detritus materials such as litter and fallen dead wood, hence sequestered in the soil sediment (Chaudhuri et al., 2019). The stilt root system in the Plantations dominated by R. mucronata also facilitated high sedimentation due to reduced speed of water flow, hence deposition of organic matter in the sediment (Chaudhuri et al., 2019). This also explains why there was a high amount of SOC in the plantations than in the Natural stand, which was a mixed forest. According to the study by Kamal et al. (2017), she found out that 80% of the soil particles carried by coastal waters were trapped and stagnated under the mangrove root areas. Machado et al. (2017), reported that leaf litter production combines with low rate of microbial decomposition of organic matter in the plantations, leading to high Soil Organic Carbon in the mangrove sediment. The result from this study therefore indicates that restoration of mangroves forest leads to increased SOC accumulation in the sediments. In other parts of the world, similar researches were conducted and the result agrees with the ones obtained from this study. For instance, a research done in China by Chen et al. (2018) found that there was a high accumulation of soil organic matter in mangrove plantations compared to the Naturals Stand. Similarly, in the Indo-pacific region, Sasmito et al. (2020) did a research and their findings was an average SOC of 864 Mg C/ha. This was lower compared to that obtained in the mangrove sediments of Mexican Caribbean which had an average SOC of 1166 Mg C/ha (Adame et al., 2013). In another research done by Ajonina et al. ( 2014) in the West and Central Africa, soil organic carbon in the mangrove sediment was 827 ± 170 Mg Cha- but the undisturbed mangrove stands had a higher quantity of SOC content of 967±58 Mg C/ha. These results were comparable to those obtained by Adam et al. (2013) in the Mexican Caribbean. Soil organic carbon varied at different depth profiles, whereby SOC content was highest at a depth of 50-100 cm and lowest at a depth of 0-15 cm. This was true for both Plantations and the Natural Stand. These results are in agreement with those for similar studies done in other parts of the world. For example, in India, while working in the mangroves of Gujarat, Pandey et al. (2016) found a higher carbon concentration at the deeper horizons (16-30 cm) compared to the shallow layers (0-15cm). The efficacy of carbon conversion in soil sediments increases with age of mangroves forests. For instance, carbon sequestration efficiency improves from 16% for a five-year-old forest to 27% for and eighty-five-year-old forest stand (Chen et al., 2020). The results obtained in this study, together with that reviewed form the existing literature shows that the amount of carbon sequestered in the sediment increases when mangrove forests are restored. This is because mangrove restoration locks the previous carbon left in the soil after destruction of the pre-existing mangrove stand (Thompson, 2018). More so, forest plantation with dissimilar rates of carbon sequestration results to differences in carbon conversion rates in the sediment (Ren et al., 2018). The high carbon content within the mangrove sediment could also be due to faster growth rates in these ecosystems as they try to keep pace with sea-level rise and trap debris and residues from tidal movements and alluvial deposits (Kraus et al., 2018). Research by Demopoulos et al. (2018) shows that mangrove ecosystem can keep on accumulating sediment over millennia (a period of a thousand years), thus making them more critical carbon sinks compared to terrestrial ecosystems that reach maximum soil carbon content over decades (a period of ten years). 5.1.2.3 Total carbon stocks The total carbon stocks among the three sites studied in mangroves of Mida Creek differed significantly. The variation in the carbon stock among the sites differed due to the difference in structure of the aboveground vegetation and the species composition, tree density, age, management regime, and soil depth sampled in each study site. Homogeneity in appearance was evident in the managed mangroves with uniform diameter stems while in the Natural Stands, there was heterogeneity in both structure and diameter. The high amount of carbon stocks in the Natural forest could be due to their old age compared to the Plantations. The increase in the carbon stocks during the rainy season could be attributed to increase in secondary growth since xylem vessels and tracheids were formed in large numbers. These cells are large, have thin walls and the wood has a light texture. High carbon stocks in 20 year-old Green Island Plantation could be due to restoration and good management practices carried out there. Therefore, to maintain a maximum carbon stocks in both aboveground and in sediments, it is important to manage the mangrove plantations without any form of disturbance. The high SOC content in the Plantations than in the Natural stand, which was a mixed forest can be explained by the fact that the plantations were dominated by the R. mucronata. This species has unique features responsible for sediment trapping. Some of these features include stilt roots, which is a complex root system (Chaudhuri et al., 2019). The complex root system is responsible for trapping and providing a suitable environment for accumulation of detritus materials such as litter and fallen dead wood, hence sequestered in the soil sediment (Chaudhuri et al., 2019). The stilt root system in the Plantations dominated by R. mucronata also facilitated high sedimentation due to reduced speed of water flow, hence deposition of organic matter in the sediment (Chaudhuri et al., 2019). According to the study by Kamal et al. (2017), she found out that 80% of the soil particles carried by coastal waters were trapped and stagnated under the mangrove root areas. Machado et al. (2017), reported that leaf litter production combines with low rate of microbial decomposition of organic matter in the plantations, leading to high Soil Organic Carbon in the mangrove sediment. The result obtained for total carbon stocks in the three sites in Mida Creek (1180.95±67 Mg C/ha) can be compared to similar studies done in other places around the world. For example, in the Indo pacific region, a study by Donate et al. (2017) for mangroves gave a report of total carbon stock to be 1023 ±88 Mg C/ha. The total carbon stock of mangroves in the Mexican Caribbean was 987±338 Mg C/ha (Adame et al., 2016) while that for Indonesian mangrove was estimated to be 986 Mg C/ha (Mudivarso et al., 2009). In the West and Central Africa had higher values of carbon stocks of 1520±164 Mg C/ha (Ajonina et al., 2014). In the Gazi Bay, Kenya, the total carbon stock for the twelve- year old Kinondo was 65.8 Mg C/ha. This was lower compared to the one obtained in the 15 year-old Kibusa Plantation (424.52±11.68) of Mida Creek, Kenya. As a tree matures, its biomass production also increases (Joshi and Ghose, 2014). Other factors such as availability of nutrients, climatic conditions and edaphic factors also affect biomass accumulation. However, the level of interactions between these factors and the mangrove accretion makes it difficult to identify the main factors contributing to biomass production in any given site (Scales et al., 2019). Unlike other major forests, the total carbon storage reported in mangroves is exceptionally high (Kauffman et al., 2020). For instance, in Kenya, the total carbon stock for Arabuko Sokoke forest which is an indigenous coastal forest is reported to range between 53-80 Mg C/ha (Glenday, 2006). In Riverine forests of Tana River County, the aboveground carbon pool was 257±43 Mg C/ha in levee forests, while that in evergreen forests was 170±13 Mg C/ha and that for woodland areas was 163±15 (Kipkorir, 2017). According to a research by Lung (2018) in Kakamega forest, the total carbon stock was estimated at 218±17.7 Mg C/ha. This is lower compared to those reported for the mangrove forests; thus, mangroves have a greater potential for sequestering carbon thereby good for global climate change regulation. Differences in carbon stocks between the Natural mangrove stand and the Plantations could be due differences in species composition, elemental carbon concentration in trees, forest structure, tree density, age, and level of management and the depth of soil sampled for soil carbon analysis. 5.1.2.4 Nutrients Availability of nutrients is a major factor affecting mangrove productivity (Malik et al., 2020). The key elements that are a limiting factor to the production of mangroves are Nitrogen and Phosphorus (Hena et al., 2020), which occur in extremely low amounts in mangrove soils (Malik et al., 2020). Following the large disturbance that caused degradation and sedimentation prior to setting up the re-plantations, it was theoretically said that there was a significant difference in nutrient status between Natural Stand and the Plantations (Kairo et al., 2020). However, this claim was rejected after the analysis of the result obtained since even after disturbance, the pattern of nutrient distribution in the Plantations was still able to re-establish and be similar to that of Natural Stand. In the mangrove sediments, the most abundant nutrient is ammonium for all the three sites (Malik et al., 2020). This is because of the higher quantities of organic matter, coupled with abundance of denitrifying bacteria (e.g., Paracoccus denitrificans and Thiobacillus denitrificans) which reduces the nitrates in the organic matter into nitrites, ammonia and even nitrogen gas (Mozumder et al., 2020). This therefore gives an account for the high amount of ammonium and for low amounts of nitrates in the three study sites. Similar study on the amount of nutrients in the mangrove sediment in Dominican Republic reported a little concentration of nitrates, with a greater amount of ammonium (Barcellos et al., 2019). In a mangrove ecosystem, the available phosphorus is immobile and unreachable by the mangrove plants. This makes organisms that metabolize phosphorus important for plant growth, especially in environments with less nutrients as the mangrove habitat (Prakash et al., 2019). In most cases, the microorganisms that metabolize phosphorus are aerobes hence occur near the mangrove roots (Chambers et al., 2016). This accounts for availability of phosphorus in the upper depth profile compared to deeper layers for the three study sites. More so, in the top layers, there are crab holes, which increase soil aeration; creating a favorable condition for the bacteria to solubilize Phosphorus (Prakash et al., 2019). Based on review of related literature, it is reported that high nutrient availability makes mangroves to invest more in aboveground biomass that maximize on carbon capture while when nutrients are in low supply, they divert resources to increase root biomass development (Cheng et al., 2020). This is also apparent in this study, in that, phosphorus had a negative correlation to the BGB, especially in the middle depth horizon where belowground biomass was relatively higher than the upper layers, with plentiful nutrients. In a similar study done by Gao et al. (2019), they reported a negative correlation between nutrients and soil organic carbon. Similarly, a study by Castaneda- Moya et al. (2020) reported that root variation depended on availability of phosphorus. They also discovered that, decrease in amount of phosphorus led to increase in allocation of root biomass. This indicates a strong association between availability of phosphorus and carbon allocation to fine root production, which later results to increased belowground biomass. This also makes it easier for nutrient acquisition (Ola et al., 2020). Absence of correlation between availability off phosphorus and BGB might reflect a weak relationship between total phosphate and the periodic dynamics of available Phosphorus. The positive association between Nitrates availability and belowground biomass indicates that Nitrogen is the most limiting element in mangroves of Mida Creek (Anton et al., 2020). One of the elements that have been reported to be the limiting factor for both aboveground and belowground biomass production in the mangrove ecosystem is nitrogen (Dangremond et al., 2020). Since there was no comprehensive information on the availability of the above nutrients, it was difficult to make a conclusion on the role of each element in determining root distribution and accumulation. This therefore calls for a further study to investigate the association between nutrient dynamics and belowground biomass accumulation. 5.2 CONCLUSIONS i. The homogeneity in distribution of stem diameters in the plantations shows that management and restoration practices significantly contributed to structural development of the replanted mangroves. This is evident through homogeneity in distribution of stem diameter in the plantations unlike in the natural stand where there was heterogeneity in stem distribution. ii. Based on the data obtained for carbon stocks in the mangroves, we can deduce that despite their occupation of small area, mangrove plantations of Mida Creek are a significant carbon stores. They are therefore extremely valuable for their long-term carbon sequestration potential. iii. Mangrove forests of Avicenia marina are greater carbon stores compared to the Rhizophora mucronata species and so more of the A. marina should be replanted to offset global warming effects. iv. The results also concluded that there is negative correlation between root biomass allocation and phosphate availability. This illustrates that mangrove invest more in root biomass when phosphate is limiting in the environment. On the other hand, available nitrogen in both nitrate and ammonia is positively correlated to the belowground biomass accumulation. Therefore, the mangrove carbon sequestration ability can be increased by adding nitrogenous fertilizers within the plantations 5.3 RECOMENDATIONS The following recommendations are made from the study; i. 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Family Species name Local name Uses Avicenniaceae Avicenia marina Mchu Firewood, poles, timber, making canoes, and fencing Combretaceae Lumnitzera racemosa Kikandaa Firewood and boat ribs Sonneratiaceae Sonneratia alba Mlilana Timber, firewood, and fencing Meliaceae Xylocarpus granatum Mkomafi Timber, firewood and curving Xylocarpus moluccensis Mkomafi dume Firewood and fencing Sterculiaceae Heritiera littoralis Msikundazi Pole, timber and boat mast. Rhizophoraceae Rhizophora mucronata Mkoko Timber, firewood and charcoal Bruguiera gymnorrhiza Muia Timber and firewood Ceriops tagal Mkandaa Timber and firewood C:\Users\Janet\AppData\Local\Microsoft\Windows\INetCache\Content.Word\rhizophora mucronata.jpeg C:\Users\Janet\AppData\Local\Microsoft\Windows\INetCache\Content.Word\ceriops tagal.jpeg APPENDIX 2: Photographs of mangroves encountered in the study site Plate 1. 1: Photograph of Rhizophora mucronata Plate 1. 2: Ceriops tagal F:\2016 & 2017 PICTURES\Pwani Uni Student Trip - Mida Creek -8th-9th & 12th May 2017\Avicennia marina-tree with aerial roots.JPG Plate 1. 3: Avicenia marina tree Plate 1. 4: Photograph of Xylocarpus granatum F:\2016 & 2017 PICTURES\Meda Creek pics-6th Nov 2016\P1030747.JPG Plate 1. 5: Photograph of Sonneratia alba Plate 1. 6: Photograph of Bruguiera gymnorrhiza